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Epidemiology Triad Analysis Guiding Malware Control Expenditure
Stephen Flowerday, James Higgs, Ethan Flowerday, Jack Tilbury
Malware-related threats continue to pose significant challenges for protecting organizational perimeters. Proposed solutions for defending against malware threats are often devised without considering the socio-technical environment in which they are implemented. This paper argues that by treating malware-related threats as an epidemic, a framework is provided for formulating targeted security controls to prevent and disrupt malware-related attacks. This paper adapts the well-known epidemiology triad into a decision-making and risk-quantification model to assist organizations in formulating security controls. The proposed model can be used to formulate security controls, quantify the probability of a cyber infection, and assess the economic feasibility of the formulated controls. This model constitutes a novel contribution to the knowledge base, demonstrating the potential for fruitful discourse and engagement to co-exist at the boundaries of disciplines.

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